The Giants have recently become the odds-on favorite to sign Aaron Judge

One sportsbook has made the San Francisco Giants the favorite to sign Aaron Judge.

Aaron Judge is the top free agent available this offseason

Aaron Judge

Over the last few days, the baseball world has seen a few marginal signings to tide it over until the ultimate MLB free agency splash.

And, while you could grasp at straws by checking whether or not “New York” is still in Judge’s Instagram bio, sportsbook odds might be a better predictor of where he’ll go.

The San Francisco Giants are the favorites to sign Judge, according to one sportsbook (via KNBR).

And, while you could grasp at straws by checking whether or not “New York” is still in Judge’s Instagram bio, sportsbook odds might be a better predictor of where he’ll go.

The line could be moved to incentivize a large number of Giants bets, hoping that the Yankees (or another team) are the most likely outcome to avoid having to pay out. After all, sportsbooks are businesses, not probability models.

The Giants, on the other hand, are surrounded by smoke. Judge has met with them, and everyone knows he grew up in California, so he’d be closer to family.

In the end, a sportsbook shifting the line in favor of the Giants is notable, but it is far from a foregone conclusion. Keep an eye on things, as Judge has reportedly received a massive offer from the Yankees, which is sure to blow the financial situation wide open.